{"id":99954,"date":"2026-09-16T05:21:16","date_gmt":"2026-09-16T05:21:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/?p=99954"},"modified":"2026-09-16T17:29:47","modified_gmt":"2026-09-16T17:29:47","slug":"europe-enters-winter-with-tighter-pellet-supply-as-high-log-prices-squeeze-sawmills","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/europe-enters-winter-with-tighter-pellet-supply-as-high-log-prices-squeeze-sawmills\/","title":{"rendered":"Europe enters winter with tighter pellet supply as high log prices squeeze sawmills"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>European pellet production and consumption continued to expand in 2025, but the apparent balance conceals a market increasingly divided between residential heating and large-scale industrial demand. Unusually strong summer consumption by power plants, limited spot availability and lower European gas storage levels are creating renewed price and supply risks ahead of the 2026\/27 heating season.<\/p>\n<p>Global Wood Markets Info (GWMI) participated in the latest Pfeifer Talk, opened by Pfeifer Group CEO Michael Pfeifer and devoted to international pellet-market developments. Pfeifer placed the discussion within the immediate commercial questions facing producers and consumers: how production and demand are developing, which factors are influencing availability and prices, and what the industry must do to preserve a functioning and dependable market.<\/p>\n<p>Pfeifer also pointed to the increasingly uncomfortable relationship between log and pellet prices. European sawlog prices remain at exceptionally high levels, supported by limited availability and the sharp decline in salvage logging after a comparatively wet summer, while weak construction has prevented sawmills from passing the full increase on to softwood lumber buyers. For integrated producers such as Pfeifer, this creates a double effect: higher log costs weaken sawmilling margins, but they also raise the value of sawmill residues used for pellet production. Pellet prices therefore cannot be considered separately from the log market. If sawmills reduce output because processing has become uneconomic, less sawdust and wood chips become available, tightening pellet feedstock supply even when demand for softwood lumber remains weak.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>That question has become more urgent during 2026. The European market did not experience its customary easing during the summer. Industrial consumers continued purchasing pellets at elevated rates, while heating-grade pellets also remained comparatively tight. The resulting competition for raw material and available pellet volumes has reduced the seasonal buffer that would normally be rebuilt before winter.<\/p>\n<p>Doris Stiksl, managing director of proPellets Austria, presented a market that is still expanding, but whose individual segments follow markedly different commercial and political logics. Residential and commercial heating is predominantly local, quality-sensitive and dependent on customer confidence in stable prices. Industrial pellet consumption is concentrated among a smaller number of large power and combined heat and power plants, relies heavily on international trade and remains closely connected to electricity prices, fossil-fuel costs and national support systems.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Two pellet markets with different price mechanisms<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Global wood pellet production reached approximately 53.5 million tonnes in 2025, representing growth of about 10% compared with the preceding year. Of this total, the residential and commercial heating market accounted for around 28 million tonnes. Industrial power and heat generation represented roughly 22 million tonnes, while other uses accounted for the remaining volume.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalwoodmarketsinfo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/01_european_pellet_production_map_2025-1.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Although both markets consume the same basic product, their purchasing behaviour differs substantially. Residential demand is dispersed among millions of households, installers, distributors and smaller commercial heating systems. Consumption is seasonal, while purchasing decisions are heavily influenced by weather, household confidence and retail price expectations.<\/p>\n<p>Industrial demand is concentrated and capable of moving much larger volumes over shorter periods. Large plants normally secure a substantial share of their requirements through long-term contracts, but additional demand can quickly affect the spot market when electricity generation from biomass becomes commercially attractive.<\/p>\n<p>This interaction became especially visible during summer 2026. High gas prices supported electricity prices and improved the economics of biomass-based power generation. Pellet consumption at some European power plants increased precisely when the heating market would normally be rebuilding stocks.<\/p>\n<p>The market consequently saw no conventional summer price relaxation. Industrial and heating pellets were both described as tight during July and August, while freely available industrial volumes on the spot market were unusually limited.<\/p>\n<p>The price mechanism can be expressed as a relatively direct sequence: higher gas prices support higher electricity prices; stronger electricity prices improve biomass-generation margins; power plants consume more pellets; and fewer uncommitted volumes remain available to the rest of the market.<\/p>\n<p>This does not mean that residential and industrial pellets are completely interchangeable. Quality specifications, certification, ash content, logistics and contractual conditions remain different. Nevertheless, both segments draw on overlapping wood residues, production capacity and transport infrastructure. A sustained increase in industrial demand therefore eventually affects the heating market as well.<\/p>\n<p><strong>European industrial demand rises to 16.8 million tonnes<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>European industrial pellet consumption increased by approximately 11% in 2025, reaching 16.8 million tonnes, compared with 15.1 million tonnes in 2024. This was substantial growth from an already high base.<\/p>\n<p>The market remains exceptionally concentrated. The five largest consuming countries account for more than 95% of European industrial demand. The United Kingdom alone represents approximately 57%, with consumption estimated at around 9.6 million tonnes in 2025, an increase of 8%.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalwoodmarketsinfo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/02_european_industrial_pellet_consumption_map_2025-1.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The UK market is dominated by electricity generation. The Netherlands is similarly concentrated on power production, while Denmark, Sweden and France use a larger share of industrial pellets in combined heat and power installations.<\/p>\n<p>Demand increased particularly strongly in the Netherlands, up 27%, and France, up 33%. Denmark recorded a 14% decline in 2025 following the reduction of subsidised generating capacity. More recent market signals, however, show that Danish pellet-based electricity generation has started increasing again.<\/p>\n<p>In August 2026, pellet-fired electricity output in Denmark was reported to have more than doubled compared with the same period in 2025. Electricity prices reached their highest level since 2022, making biomass generation commercially attractive even without the construction of new pellet-fired capacity.<\/p>\n<p>In the Netherlands, electricity generation from pellets by RWE and Uniper increased by a combined 56%. The additional consumption did not result from a new round of capacity expansion. Existing plants were running more intensively because market conditions favoured biomass relative to gas-fired generation.<\/p>\n<p>European gas storage was only around 65% full at the end of August, compared with a five-year average of approximately 82%. This increases both price volatility and the risk of additional pellet demand during the winter, particularly if temperatures fall sharply or gas supplies tighten.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalwoodmarketsinfo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/03_european_residential_pellet_consumption_2025-1.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Policy changes could remove five million tonnes of European demand<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The current industrial strength should not be mistaken for uninterrupted long-term growth. European industrial pellet demand remains exposed to major changes in national support systems.<\/p>\n<p>In the United Kingdom, existing support arrangements expire in March 2027. Under the subsequent framework, only around 27% of the potential annual production of the main biomass facility would be supported. The plant would therefore operate increasingly as a flexible reserve or peak-load facility, with an expected minimum utilisation rate of around 22%, rather than continuously generating baseload power.<\/p>\n<p>Dutch support for RWE and Uniper is also due to end in 2026 and 2027. No transitional support is currently planned, while large-scale bioenergy with carbon capture and storage plants exceeding 100 MW are not expected to qualify for the proposed support system.<\/p>\n<p>The central scenario presented during Pfeifer Talks points to a reduction of around five million tonnes in European industrial pellet demand between 2026 and 2028. That projection was prepared in March, before the latest geopolitical escalation and the subsequent increase in gas and electricity prices. The decline could consequently be less linear than initially expected, particularly if high power prices continue to make existing biomass capacity profitable.<\/p>\n<p>Asian growth will compensate for part of the European contraction, but probably not all of it. Japan is becoming a more mature market and its rate of demand growth is slowing. South Korean policy changes could alter domestic consumption and release additional volumes for export. At the same time, new pellet applications for industrial process heat are being developed, creating a potential market beyond conventional power generation.<\/p>\n<p><strong>European production reaches 25.7 million tonnes<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>European pellet production increased by approximately 11% in 2025 to 25.7 million tonnes. Output remains concentrated in Central, Western and northeastern Europe.<\/p>\n<p>Germany retained its position as Europe\u2019s largest producer, with approximately four million tonnes, an increase of 8.8%. Latvia produced 2.3 million tonnes, up 23%, while French output rose by 9.5% to around 2.3 million tonnes. Poland produced approximately 2.2 million tonnes, and Austrian production increased by 12.8% to about two million tonnes.<\/p>\n<p>This growth was considerably stronger than the expansion of the European residential market. The difference was absorbed by industrial demand, exports, inventory movements and cross-border trade.<\/p>\n<p>Europe is both the world\u2019s largest pellet-producing and pellet-consuming region. It is nevertheless a net importer. The European market cannot be analysed exclusively through the balance between production and consumption because the two principal segments have very different import requirements.<\/p>\n<p>Industrial users depend heavily on overseas supply. Approximately 61% of industrial pellets consumed in Europe originate outside the EU, particularly in the United States, Canada and Southeast Asia. By contrast, only about 5% of residential heating pellets are imported from outside Europe.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalwoodmarketsinfo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/05_european_industrial_pellet_demand_outlook_2028-1.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Imports supply one-fifth of EU consumption<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>EU imports from third countries reached approximately 4.45 million tonnes in 2025, equivalent to around 20% of total EU pellet consumption.<\/p>\n<p>The United States was by far the largest supplier, delivering approximately 1.78 million tonnes. Brazil followed with around 530,000 tonnes, Canada with 490,000 tonnes, Ukraine with 445,000 tonnes and Vietnam with 355,000 tonnes. Other origins supplied the remaining volume.<\/p>\n<p>The composition of these flows is as important as their size. US and Canadian shipments primarily supply industrial consumers. Brazilian producers also participate in the heating market, while Ukraine remains an important supplier of European residential-grade pellets. Italy is the principal destination for non-EU heating pellets and receives an estimated 44% of these imports.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalwoodmarketsinfo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/04_eu_pellet_imports_by_origin_2025-1.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Russia and Belarus were historically significant exporters to the European market, but EU sanctions introduced after 2022 have largely removed those flows. Production in both countries has subsequently declined. This forced European buyers to replace nearby supply with material transported across longer and more expensive routes.<\/p>\n<p>The western Balkans and Ukraine continue to serve the European heating market. North America remains the world\u2019s largest exporting region, shipping around ten million tonnes annually, while Vietnam has become the second-largest individual exporter worldwide and a central supplier to Japan.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Residential consumption rises more slowly<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>European household and commercial heating consumption increased by 4% to approximately 19.1 million tonnes in 2025, compared with 18.3 million tonnes in 2024. Growth was therefore more moderate than the expansion recorded in both European production and industrial consumption.<\/p>\n<p>Germany remained the largest heating market, consuming approximately 3.5 million tonnes and recording growth of 5.5%. It also has the highest proportion of pellets used in commercial heating applications among the largest European markets.<\/p>\n<p>Italian consumption reached approximately three million tonnes, an increase of 1.7%. France consumed around 2.7 million tonnes, up 7.7%. Austria ranked fourth with approximately 1.5 million tonnes and growth of 4.3%, while Polish demand increased by 9%.<\/p>\n<p>Poland is currently the fastest-expanding major residential market. Its Clean Air programme has supported the replacement of older heating systems, with pellet installations accounting for approximately 75% of applications under the scheme. The country has an estimated 480,000\u2013500,000 pellet heating systems.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalwoodmarketsinfo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/06_poland_pellet_market_2025.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Polish production is estimated at 2.2\u20132.5 million tonnes, against domestic consumption of around 2.1 million tonnes. Electricity generation and district heating provide a second large source of demand. Pellet co-firing by Enea increased by 219%, supported by RED III requirements and the decarbonisation of electricity and heat generation.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Austria remains Europe\u2019s most intensive pellet-heating market<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Austria produced approximately two million tonnes of pellets in 2025, an increase of 12.8%. Almost all Austrian production is ENplus A1 quality and is directed principally towards the heating market rather than large-scale electricity generation.<\/p>\n<p>Domestic consumption reached approximately 1.5 million tonnes, up 4.3%. Although Austria ranks behind Germany, Italy and France in absolute consumption, it remains Europe\u2019s strongest pellet-heating market when measured against population.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalwoodmarketsinfo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/07_austria_pellet_market_2025.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Austrian market illustrates both the strengths and vulnerabilities of the European residential model. It has a mature network of producers, distributors, heating-system manufacturers and installers, as well as high consumer familiarity with pellet heating. However, this maturity makes price confidence especially important.<\/p>\n<p>Households do not respond only to the current retail price. They also consider whether prices appear stable enough to justify replacing an oil or gas heating system with a pellet boiler. A sudden price surge can therefore affect equipment sales long after wholesale markets have normalised.<\/p>\n<p>Austria\u2019s high production level provides a degree of supply security, but it does not isolate the country from international developments. Austrian producers compete for sawmill residues and other raw materials, while neighbouring markets can attract additional volumes when prices rise. Transport costs and production levels in the wider sawmill industry also influence the quantity and cost of available residues.<\/p>\n<p>Pellets currently provide just under 4% of the EU\u2019s residential heating and cooling energy. This remains a limited share of the total market, but it also indicates substantial technical room for expansion as fossil heating systems are replaced.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Prices face competing forces through 2027<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The near-term price outlook is being shaped by two forces moving in opposite directions.<\/p>\n<p>On one side, European production has expanded strongly, rising faster than residential demand. If industrial demand falls as UK and Dutch support schemes expire, several million tonnes could be released into other markets. This would ease industrial prices and increase competition among producers.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalwoodmarketsinfo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/09_european_pellet_price_pressure_chain_2026.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>On the other side, the transition will not occur immediately or evenly. High gas and electricity prices are encouraging existing power plants to consume more pellets before their support mechanisms expire. Low gas storage levels add further uncertainty. Residential distributors must also rebuild inventories ahead of winter at a time when spot-market availability is already limited.<\/p>\n<p>This combination makes a rapid return to a consistently oversupplied European market unlikely before the end of the 2026\/27 heating season. Much will depend on winter temperatures, electricity prices and the operational decisions of a relatively small number of major power plants.<\/p>\n<p>Michael Pfeifer\u2019s opening emphasis on prices, production and market stability was therefore well placed. Pellet supply is still growing, but headline production figures provide only a partial picture. Availability for an individual buyer depends on whether the pellets are industrial or heating grade, where they are produced, whether they are committed under long-term contracts and how strongly power-market economics are pulling volumes towards electricity generation.<\/p>\n<p>The European market is not facing a simple physical shortage. It is experiencing a temporary tightening of freely available supply at the same time as its largest industrial consumers approach a structural policy change. That tension is likely to keep prices volatile even if total European output continues to rise.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>European pellet production and consumption continued to expand in 2025, but the apparent balance conceals a market increasingly divided between residential heating and large-scale industrial demand. Unusually strong summer consumption by power plants, limited spot availability and lower European gas &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/europe-enters-winter-with-tighter-pellet-supply-as-high-log-prices-squeeze-sawmills\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":99955,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"Default","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5204],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-99954","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Europe enters winter with tighter pellet supply as high log prices squeeze sawmills - Timber Industry News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/europe-enters-winter-with-tighter-pellet-supply-as-high-log-prices-squeeze-sawmills\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Europe enters winter with tighter pellet supply as high log prices squeeze sawmills - Timber Industry News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"European pellet production and consumption continued to expand in 2025, but the apparent balance conceals a market increasingly divided between residential heating and large-scale industrial demand. 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