{"id":88842,"date":"2025-05-14T05:58:55","date_gmt":"2025-05-14T05:58:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tin.happy-projects.ro\/swedens-timber-buyers-expect-stable-or-rising-prices-in-2025-long-term-outlook-remains-bullish\/"},"modified":"2025-09-18T17:30:28","modified_gmt":"2025-09-18T17:30:28","slug":"swedens-timber-buyers-expect-stable-or-rising-prices-in-2025-long-term-outlook-remains-bullish","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/swedens-timber-buyers-expect-stable-or-rising-prices-in-2025-long-term-outlook-remains-bullish\/","title":{"rendered":"Sweden\u2019s timber buyers expect stable or rising prices in 2025, long-term outlook remains bullish"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/span>Most timber buyers in Sweden expect log prices to remain stable or rise slightly in 2025, with supply constraints and steady demand underpinning the market, according to a new survey.<\/p>\n

About 70% of respondents believe timber prices will either stay at current levels or increase by up to 5% next year, the survey found. Only 10% expect prices to fall, with pessimism concentrated in southern regions. Meanwhile, 5% of buyers, mainly in northern Sweden, anticipate price increases exceeding 10%.<\/p>\n

On a five-year horizon, expectations are more diverse. Some 45% foresee a 10\u201330% increase from today\u2019s prices, while 35% project modest growth of up to 10%. A fifth of respondents expect prices to decline by more than 10%, though none anticipate gains above 30%.<\/p>\n

Timber prices in Sweden have risen sharply in recent years, driven by strong demand and tightening supply. The biggest gains have been recorded in the southern regions of Svealand and G\u00f6taland, while northern Norrland has seen more moderate increases. Over the past year, prices rose 26% in Svealand and 22% in G\u00f6taland, compared with 11% in northern Norrland.<\/p>\n

Looking ahead to 2030, buyers expect further price gains across the country, with the strongest growth likely in Norrland.<\/p>\n

War, sanctions, and limited harvests driving prices<\/strong><\/p>\n

The war in Ukraine and sanctions on Russian timber have curtailed global supply, supporting prices. Buyers also point to long-term demand for wood as a renewable construction material as a key driver of price growth.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere\u2019s a natural ceiling on how much can be harvested each year,\u201d one respondent said. \u201cThat puts pressure on supply and supports the market.\u201d<\/p>\n

Construction sector activity and sawmill profitability were cited as the main downside risks. A recovery in construction is seen as necessary to sustain current price levels. Some also noted that an end to the war and a potential re-entry of Russian timber to the market could ease supply constraints and weigh on prices.<\/p>\n

Regulations seen as biggest supply risk<\/strong><\/p>\n

Timber buyers identified environmental regulations as the biggest challenge to raw material supply. Respondents cited the EU\u2019s biodiversity rules, Sweden\u2019s Species Protection Ordinance, and carbon sink requirements under LULUCF as potential barriers to harvesting.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere is growing pressure to preserve forests rather than manage them for production,\u201d one buyer said, adding that public sentiment has become increasingly negative toward forestry.<\/p>\n

Supply risks vary by region. Buyers in southern Sweden expect tighter conditions for sawlogs, while pulpwood supply is seen as more secure, supported by the age structure of Swedish forests.<\/p>\n

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Key factors supporting timber prices:<\/strong><\/p>\n