{"id":88542,"date":"2025-02-13T08:26:25","date_gmt":"2025-02-13T08:26:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tin.happy-projects.ro\/declining-demand-pushes-latvian-sawlog-prices-lower-in-2024-optimistic-forecasts-for-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T09:03:37","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T09:03:37","slug":"declining-demand-pushes-latvian-sawlog-prices-lower-in-2024-optimistic-forecasts-for-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/declining-demand-pushes-latvian-sawlog-prices-lower-in-2024-optimistic-forecasts-for-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Declining demand pushes latvian sawlog prices lower in 2024; optimistic forecasts for 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\"><span id=\"more-37331\"><\/span>Over the past six months, Latvia\u2019s wood market has remained relatively stable in terms of pricing, although regional and seasonal price fluctuations continue to be observed. In mid-summer, there was a slight decline in sawlog prices, but they have since recovered, continuing on a positive trend. While the economies of Latvia\u2019s key export markets are still struggling, optimistic business forecasts for the upcoming year and low warehouse stocks are gradually driving up demand.<\/p>\n<p>This overview provides a general assessment of December 2024 price changes and trends in Vidzeme, Kurzeme, and Latgale based on data from our depots and the price review conducted by the Forest and Wood Products Research and Development Institute.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Softwood sawlogs<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Softwood sawlog prices remain relatively stable across all regions. In Vidzeme and Kurzeme, prices range from \u20ac85 to \u20ac90\/m\u00b3, with high-quality stands reaching up to \u20ac100\/m\u00b3. In Latgale, the situation is similar, with prices between \u20ac88 and \u20ac90\/m\u00b3. While a slight price decline was observed in mid-summer, autumn and winter months have shown a positive trend.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Birch veneer logs<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Birch veneer logs continue to be sold to AS Latvijas Finieris under a strategic partnership, ensuring significantly higher prices compared to other buyers in Latvia and neighboring countries. The average price per cubic meter is \u20ac105 in Vidzeme and Kurzeme, and \u20ac100 in Latgale. Notably, this price applies at roadside, not at the mill. Factoring in transport compensation, the price reaches approximately \u20ac110\u2013115 in Vidzeme and Kurzeme and \u20ac105\u2013110 in Latgale.<\/p>\n<p>It is important to highlight that the advertised prices of up to \u20ac180\/m\u00b3 or more from various resellers do not reflect the actual price a seller receives per cubic meter of cargo. In many cases, there may be only one, or even no logs, qualifying for this highest price category.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Aspen sawlogs<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The aspen sawlog market currently exhibits regional differences in both prices and demand. Prices in Vidzeme are the highest, ranging from \u20ac110 to \u20ac130\/m\u00b3, with actual invoice prices between \u20ac110 and \u20ac118\/m\u00b3, reflecting strong demand. In Kurzeme, prices are lower, around \u20ac90\/m\u00b3, while in Latgale, they reach \u20ac84\/m\u00b3. Given the historically high prices in Vidzeme, forest owners in the region are advised to capitalize on the market conditions and sell aspen sawlogs to maximize their profits.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pulpwood<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Birch pulpwood<\/em> prices are similar in Vidzeme and Kurzeme, ranging from \u20ac54 to \u20ac56\/m\u00b3. In Latgale, prices are slightly lower, between \u20ac42 and \u20ac43\/m\u00b3, depending on local demand, particularly in the S\u0113lija region, where prices can reach \u20ac53\/m\u00b3. While a moderate price increase was observed in summer, prices have now stabilized.<\/p>\n<p><em>Softwood pulpwood<\/em> prices vary widely by region. In Vidzeme, they range from \u20ac60 to \u20ac64\/m\u00b3, in Kurzeme around \u20ac63\/m\u00b3, and in Latgale from \u20ac42 to \u20ac48\/m\u00b3. Despite a slight price increase in recent months, regional differences in demand continue to influence sales strategies.<\/p>\n<p><em>Aspen pulpwood<\/em> prices have remained stable but show significant regional differences. In Kurzeme, prices are approximately \u20ac44\/m\u00b3, while in Latgale, they range from \u20ac35 to \u20ac40\/m\u00b3. Demand for aspen pulpwood is low, and price increases in this segment have not been observed.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Firewood<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Firewood prices are fairly uniform across regions, ranging from \u20ac40 to \u20ac44\/m\u00b3. Although winter demand might lead to a slight price increase, no such trend is currently evident.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Packaging wood<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Hardwood packaging wood<\/em> prices largely depend on the forest\u2019s location and demand from nearby sawmills. In Vidzeme, prices range from \u20ac55 to \u20ac58\/m\u00b3. In Kurzeme, thin packaging wood is priced at \u20ac57\/m\u00b3, while thicker packaging wood is slightly lower at \u20ac55\/m\u00b3\u2014an uncommon price inversion likely influenced by AS LVM\u2019s procurement specifications. In Latgale, prices are lower, around \u20ac53\/m\u00b3.<\/p>\n<p><em>Softwood packaging wood<\/em> also shows significant regional price variations. In Vidzeme, prices range from \u20ac60 to \u20ac62\/m\u00b3, sometimes higher. In Kurzeme, prices reach \u20ac73\/m\u00b3, indicating higher value in the region. Latgale\u2019s prices are around \u20ac65\/m\u00b3, reflecting moderate regional demand.<\/p>\n<p>As with hardwood packaging wood, softwood packaging wood prices depend heavily on forest location and transport distances to sawmills.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Oak sawlogs<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Oak sawlogs are currently in high demand in Kurzeme, attracting supply from other Latvian regions to meet market needs. Prices range from \u20ac250 to \u20ac400\/m\u00b3, depending on log quality.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Alder sawlogs<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Alder sawlog demand and prices vary by region. In Vidzeme, both supply and demand are low, resulting in minimal market activity. In Kurzeme, prices range from \u20ac75 to \u20ac80\/m\u00b3, but if supply increases, prices could reach up to \u20ac105\/m\u00b3. In Latgale, prices remain stable at approximately \u20ac84\/m\u00b3.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Wood chips<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Wood chip prices have remained stable over the past year: \u20ac9\u201312\/m\u00b3 in Vidzeme, \u20ac11\u201312\/m\u00b3 in Kurzeme, and \u20ac9\/m\u00b3 in Latgale. Although winter traditionally drives price increases, this has not been observed this year. Wood chip prices are influenced not only by seasonal factors but also by global energy markets, including fluctuations in gas and oil prices.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Conclusions and recommendations<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Comparing current roundwood prices to pre-COVID-19 levels, they remain significantly higher, offering favorable opportunities for sellers. However, expectations for pandemic-era price spikes, driven by supply chain disruptions and the war in Ukraine, are unlikely to materialize again.<\/p>\n<p>A modest, gradual increase in roundwood prices is expected in 2025. Historically, current prices are already high but are sustained by reduced sawmill profit margins. As demand for sawlogs increases, sawmills will likely first restore their profit levels, which may limit further price growth for roundwood.<\/p>\n<p>Now is an opportune time to prepare cutting areas for 2025, when better market conditions may arise. Additionally, winter is the safest period for harvesting stands affected by bark beetles, especially for areas under 0.8 hectares. Delaying their harvest could lead to further losses.<\/p>\n<p>Forest owners should also consider thinning out unproductive stands. These include overstocked spruce stands and mixed stands with a high proportion of aspen, grey alder, and willows. Such areas can be regenerated with support from EU-funded projects, creating more valuable and sustainable forests while enhancing long-term profitability.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Over the past six months, Latvia\u2019s wood market has remained relatively stable in terms of pricing, although regional and seasonal price fluctuations continue to be observed. In mid-summer, there was a slight decline in sawlog prices, but they have since &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/declining-demand-pushes-latvian-sawlog-prices-lower-in-2024-optimistic-forecasts-for-2025\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":96504,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4716],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-88542","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-trends"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Declining demand pushes latvian sawlog prices lower in 2024; optimistic forecasts for 2025 - Timber Industry News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/declining-demand-pushes-latvian-sawlog-prices-lower-in-2024-optimistic-forecasts-for-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Declining demand pushes latvian sawlog prices lower in 2024; optimistic forecasts for 2025 - Timber Industry News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Over the past six months, Latvia\u2019s wood market has remained relatively stable in terms of pricing, although regional and seasonal price fluctuations continue to be observed. 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