{"id":88225,"date":"2024-11-01T06:59:35","date_gmt":"2024-11-01T06:59:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tin.happy-projects.ro\/global-log-and-lumber-price-volatility-likely-to-persist-until-2030\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T09:03:04","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T09:03:04","slug":"global-log-and-lumber-price-volatility-likely-to-persist-until-2030","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/global-log-and-lumber-price-volatility-likely-to-persist-until-2030\/","title":{"rendered":"Global log and lumber price volatility likely to persist until 2030"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/span>The global log supply is facing a shortage, signaling both challenges and opportunities for the forestry sector, according to insights shared at the Global Wood Summit in Vancouver on October 29-30. Russ Taylor, a known expert in global wood markets, addressed the pressing question: \u201cAre we running out of wood?\u201d The answer, he clarified, is not a straightforward \"yes,\" but it\u2019s certain that the world is running low on affordable timber.<\/p>\n

\u201cAbsolutely we\u2019re running out of cheap wood,\u201d Taylor said. He explained that while timber itself isn\u2019t vanishing, low-cost sources are depleting rapidly. The causes are varied, from supply disruptions and evolving trade policies to the economic slowdown in China, which has drastically reduced its demand for lumber.<\/p>\n

In British Columbia and parts of Europe, a period of beetle infestations provided a temporary surplus of cheap timber. Taylor noted that the Mountain Pine Beetle in B.C. and similar infestations in Europe led to millions of cubic meters of low-cost logs entering the market. But these surpluses are ending, marking a turn towards tighter log supplies globally. Even though Europe boasts a well-established sawmilling industry, the diminishing log supply will impact its capacity. Finland and Sweden, for example, are already planning to cut harvest levels by 25%, further limiting supply.<\/p>\n

Compounding this situation is Russia\u2019s ban on log exports, which has had significant repercussions for countries reliant on Russian timber. This restriction has left markets like China scrambling, as their imports from other countries struggle to meet the gap left by Russia.<\/p>\n

Taylor also pointed to broader conservation and protection policies that are increasingly reducing log availability, particularly in North America. In Canada and the U.S., the establishment of new conservation areas and old-growth protection policies have increasingly restricted access to forests traditionally used for timber harvesting. \u201cThere\u2019s a lot going on in the log supply world when you start peeling back the onion,\u201d Taylor remarked, illustrating the complexity of the situation.<\/p>\n

However, this tightening log supply may ultimately benefit lumber exporters, particularly in places like British Columbia. Countries with significant sawmilling infrastructure but limited domestic timber resources, such as China, are likely to face raw material shortages. This could open new market opportunities for B.C. lumber producers as these nations look abroad for lumber to support their industries.<\/p>\n

Although New Zealand might see a temporary increase in softwood log exports, Taylor noted that its harvest levels are expected to start declining around 2030, further constraining global supply. As New Zealand\u2019s exports drop, demand for lumber from regions like B.C. could grow even more.<\/p>\n

Looking ahead, Taylor anticipates volatility in log and lumber prices, with an overall upward trend beginning around 2028 and reaching a critical phase by 2030. \u201cWe\u2019ve got a chance, but it\u2019s 2030. It\u2019s not tomorrow. You\u2019ve got to survive five more years,\u201d he emphasized, suggesting that the road ahead for the forestry sector involves weathering current challenges until this potential upswing materializes.<\/p>\n

For B.C. lumber producers, the next five years may offer a gradual but promising improvement in market conditions. With decreasing global supply, particularly of low-cost timber, B.C.\u2019s role as a reliable source of softwood lumber could become more critical on the global stage, especially as importing countries look to sustain their own production.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The global log supply is facing a shortage, signaling both challenges and opportunities for the forestry sector, according to insights shared at the Global Wood Summit in Vancouver on October 29-30. Russ Taylor, a known expert in global wood markets, … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":96439,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4716],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-88225","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-trends"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nGlobal log and lumber price volatility likely to persist until 2030 - Timber Industry News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/global-log-and-lumber-price-volatility-likely-to-persist-until-2030\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Global log and lumber price volatility likely to persist until 2030 - Timber Industry News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The global log supply is facing a shortage, signaling both challenges and opportunities for the forestry sector, according to insights shared at the Global Wood Summit in Vancouver on October 29-30. 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