{"id":87570,"date":"2024-05-14T08:19:14","date_gmt":"2024-05-14T08:19:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tin.happy-projects.ro\/sweden-prices-of-forest-products-expected-to-rise-in-autumn-and-into-next-year\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T09:02:01","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T09:02:01","slug":"sweden-prices-of-forest-products-expected-to-rise-in-autumn-and-into-next-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/sweden-prices-of-forest-products-expected-to-rise-in-autumn-and-into-next-year\/","title":{"rendered":"Sweden: Prices of forest products expected to rise in autumn and into next year"},"content":{"rendered":"

The prices of timber products in Sweden have surpassed the economic downturn and are expected to to rise in autumn and into next year.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"The prices of industrial forest products are expected to continue gradually recovering over the coming quarters, and demand for forest raw materials is likely to increase,\" says Christian Kopfer, stock analyst for forestry and commodities at the Swedish Handelsbanken. The price level of forest land nominally decreased by five percent over the past year, but there are significant differences across the country. Prices in southern Sweden declined the most, by almost seven percent compared to four percent in the rest of Sweden.<\/p>\n

\"The higher interest rates combined with deteriorating economic prospects were likely the main factors behind the falling prices last year. Regarding the future outlook for forest land prices, we remain positive in the long term, especially as we see an undersupply of forest raw materials for a long time to come,\" says Jesper Forsman, segment manager for forestry at Handelsbanken.<\/p>\n

Recovery in sight for the forest industry<\/strong><\/p>\n

Continued weak demand, particularly in the construction industry, will lead to further capacity reductions. Handelsbanken's experts estimate that lower production levels will moderately drive up prices even for the second quarter. A substantial recovery in sawn timber prices will likely require an improvement in demand on the economic front.<\/p>\n

\"In the long run, we are still positive primarily due to strong structural demand. We expect Swedish sawmill prices and profitability to recover to around ten percent over time, which is in line with the average margin since 2016,\" says Christian Kopfer.<\/p>\n

Strong export market for forest raw materials benefits Swedish forest owners<\/strong><\/p>\n

The prices of forest raw materials have developed strongly this year, driven primarily by a stronger export market. The Russian shortfall in timber for Finnish buyers has led to higher demand for Swedish timber. The price increase has accelerated during the year for saw logs, while the development has been more even for pulpwood. Timber stocks decreased by almost 20 percent in 2023, reaching the lowest level since 2017. The significantly reduced stocks indicate that sawmills continue to struggle to source raw materials.<\/p>\n

\"In the short term, we believe that the prices of pulpwood will develop better than timber, as the industry recovers faster on the buyer side of pulpwood compared to sawmills. In the long term, however, when demand for construction picks up again, we expect timber prices to perform better than pulpwood,\" says Christian Kopfer.<\/p>\n

The recent strong price development in pulp and higher prices for packaging materials are expected to have a positive impact on the industry's profitability in the second quarter and a gradually improved demand.<\/p>\n

\"We expect consumption of pulpwood to increase, which will be a positive driving force behind continued higher pulpwood prices,\" says Christian Kopfer.<\/p>\n

New revenue opportunities and risks for forest owners<\/strong><\/p>\n

EU regulations indicate that harvesting levels are likely to decrease, which in turn could result in relatively high price increases for Swedish timber.<\/p>\n

\"The impact is still uncertain as there is some flexibility regarding national implementation,\" says Josefin Johansson, sustainability analyst at Handelsbanken.<\/p>\n

The EU reached a preliminary agreement on the certification framework for carbon credits in February 2024. The framework they agreed upon contains principles for how certification should be developed. However, details regarding what exactly would apply for a carbon credit linked to, for example, forest assets remain to be determined later through delegated acts.<\/p>\n

\"We see the emergence of carbon credits as something positive for forest owners, given that it creates a new source of revenue, while the effect on the forest industry is more mixed, as it may reduce the share of available raw materials if more choose to extend the rotation period for their forest,\" says Josefin Johansson.<\/p>\n

According to the Swedish Forest Agency, climate change is expected to result in faster growth of Swedish forests due to a warmer climate. This growth is expected to be higher in percentage terms in northern and western Sweden, where there are county-level increases averaging 15-25 percent during the period 2040-2070 compared to 1960-1990.<\/p>\n

\"An increased growth through trees growing faster may not only be positive. The trees may be more affected by tree mortality, something that to some extent can offset increased growth due to a warmer climate. Climate change leads to more vulnerable ecosystems, and there is a great need for climate adaptation to strengthen forests' resilience for the future,\" says Josefin Johansson.<\/p>\n

EU decisions affecting forestry<\/strong><\/p>\n

New policy initiatives in the EU and globally affect how forests will be managed in the future. The bank's experts assess that new EU regulations related to forests overall seem to have a negative impact on the forest industry through reduced access to raw materials, but with relative winners depending on self-sufficiency levels.<\/p>\n

\"The net effect for forest owners is still uncertain as it depends on national implementation and opportunities for compensation for the various benefits the forest provides,\" says Josefin Johansson.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The prices of timber products in Sweden have surpassed the economic downturn and are expected to to rise in autumn and into next year. “The prices of industrial forest products are expected to continue gradually recovering over the coming quarters, … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":85734,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4716],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-87570","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-trends"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSweden: Prices of forest products expected to rise in autumn and into next year - Timber Industry News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/sweden-prices-of-forest-products-expected-to-rise-in-autumn-and-into-next-year\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sweden: Prices of forest products expected to rise in autumn and into next year - Timber Industry News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The prices of timber products in Sweden have surpassed the economic downturn and are expected to to rise in autumn and into next year. 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