{"id":83125,"date":"2022-10-31T09:46:21","date_gmt":"2022-10-31T09:46:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tin.happy-projects.ro\/china-softwood-log-demand-prices-low-spruce-imports-europe-sharply\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T08:58:42","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T08:58:42","slug":"china-softwood-log-demand-prices-low-spruce-imports-europe-sharply","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/china-softwood-log-demand-prices-low-spruce-imports-europe-sharply\/","title":{"rendered":"China: Softwood log demand and prices low; spruce imports from Europe down sharply"},"content":{"rendered":"

China softwood log inventory remains below the 4m m3<\/sup>\u00a0despite China having the Golden Week holiday at the start of October. There is also a lot less spruce in China as arrivals from Europe has dropped dramatically. This inventory is now less than 500k m3<\/sup>.\u00a0Daily port log volume off-take has not fully rebounded since the Golden Week and is only about 60k per day. (It was 70k per day before the holiday period).<\/p>\n

There is still a wide range of CFR sale prices in China depending upon vessel timing and sales strategies. The current sale prices for A grade logs range between 128-134 USD per m3<\/sup>.\u00a0This is about a 10 USD drop over the last month.<\/p>\n

The September Caixin China Manufacturing PMI declined further to 48.1 from 49.5 the previous month. Output fell for the first time in four months and new orders shrank the most since April. Of more concern is that export sales declined at the steepest rate in four months. Market sentiment is at its lowest point since November 2019.<\/p>\n

While log demand is down in China the reduced log supply is maintaining the supply demand balance.<\/p>\n

High unemployment rates as well as low productivity means housing affordability will be a significant issue. Homebuyers have also lost confidence in the completion of new real estate projects and are refraining from buying new properties. Housing prices are falling in more than half of China\u2019s cities. A survey by the People\u2019s Bank of China in the second quarter of 2022 showed that only 16.2 per cent of households expect an increase in house prices.\u00a0<\/span>New home sales are also plummeting, dropping 23 per cent year-on-year as of August. A drop in pre-sales is important because they currently account for 86 per cent of Chinese developers\u2019 funding.<\/p>\n

Policymakers attempt to restore the confidence of homebuyers by financing developers with guarantees or have state-owned developers take over the assets of private developers. The structural changes to the Chinese real estate market are resulting in a larger market share for state-owned developers (deeper pockets and access to better funding) at the expense of private companies. it is estimated that only about 25% of private property developers will remain. This means the developers will tend to have healthier balance-sheets, be more stable and operate with smaller profit margins. Urbanisation of the population as well as upgrading housing standards means log demand will continue and should stabilise with less property speculation.<\/p>\n

Source: PFOlsen<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

China softwood log inventory remains below the 4m m3\u00a0despite China having the Golden Week holiday at the start of October. There is also a lot less spruce in China as arrivals from Europe has dropped dramatically. This inventory is now … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":84039,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4716,4715,4714],"tags":[3254,3248,3284,3352],"class_list":["post-83125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-trends","category-market-analysis","category-wood-industry-prices","tag-china","tag-imports","tag-logs","tag-softwood","topic-forestry","topic-industry-prices","topic-sawmilling","area-australia-and-pacific-region","area-china","area-europe"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nChina: Softwood log demand and prices low; spruce imports from Europe down sharply - Timber Industry News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/china-softwood-log-demand-prices-low-spruce-imports-europe-sharply\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China: Softwood log demand and prices low; spruce imports from Europe down sharply - Timber Industry News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"China softwood log inventory remains below the 4m m3\u00a0despite China having the Golden Week holiday at the start of October. 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