{"id":81826,"date":"2022-02-09T09:49:37","date_gmt":"2022-02-09T09:49:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tin.happy-projects.ro\/french-wood-industry-heading-2022\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T08:56:55","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T08:56:55","slug":"french-wood-industry-heading-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/french-wood-industry-heading-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Where is the French wood industry heading in 2022?"},"content":{"rendered":"

It is difficult to say today how the French timber market will evolve in 2022. Due to the health crisis, the sector has suddenly fallen into a kind of\u00a0unknown ground<\/em>\u00a0after which any kind of forecast is nearly impossible.<\/p>\n

The reality of the moment is that there is no longer any law except that of the spot price.\u00a0Until now, the French forest products branch \u2013 especially lumber \u2013 had never really been accustomed to the practice of spot markets.\u00a0Those in the long term were rather the rule even if professionals have noted, in recent years, a trend towards the disintegration of contractual conditions in customer-supplier relations.<\/span><\/p>\n

The health crisis and its economic consequences have shattered this practice.\u00a0No one knows if this new paradigm of the very short term, of the panic of prices, their fluctuation, and unguaranteed prices is only temporary or long-lasting.<\/span><\/p>\n

At the end of 2021, many players in the sector believed that the wood market had peaked and that the first quarter of the new financial year was likely to see new bearish prospects.\u00a0However, this is not the case at the beginning of February 2022.\u00a0\u201cI thought that the start of the year would be calmer<\/em>\u00a0, Fabien Salles says,\u00a0but I see that we are back with the same very strong activity.\u00a0\u00bb<\/em><\/p>\n

This sawyer from the French Massif Central says that next March, he will pass new increases on his pallet packaging products,\u00a0 from 3 \u20ac\/m3 to 10 \u20ac\/m3 for a selling price of 190 \u20ac\/m3.\u00a0These same products were worth \u20ac135-140\/m3 at the end of 2020, thus the current increase therefore exceeds 41% (see also table N\u00b01).\u00a0\"My order book is filled for 4 weeks against an average of one week in general\"<\/em>, he adds..<\/span><\/p>\n

The situation hardly varies in the eastern forest basins.\u00a0\"I currently observe no change in the activity which remains very dynamic\"<\/em>\u00a0, confirms Jean-Fran\u00e7ois Pachon, manager of the Lonchampt sawmill in the Jura massif.\u00a0He says that the planks-bastaings which he sold for \u20ac200\/m3 in 2020 will be trading in 2022 for \u20ac300\/m3 (+50%) and that the formwork-packaging has risen, over the same period, from \u20ac120\/m3 at \u20ac200\/m3 (+67%).
\n<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

This boom in France is part of a very volatile global context in terms of prices.\u00a0Panel prices, for example, were multiplied by 2 in the first half of 2021, then fell to their lowest point in August with a current rise (see table 2).\u00a0Paper pulp prices followed a very similar trend over the same period: +39% for the benchmark NBSK pulp in the USA and +52% in Europe, but with a deterioration in prices recorded at the beginning of 2022 (see table 2).<\/span><\/p>\n

The rise was particularly spectacular and historic in the sawn softwood branch.\u00a0In the United States, the price spike has gotten out of control, resembling a dangerous speculative bubble (\u00a0\u201cthe lumber bubble\u201d<\/em>\u00a0): in the first half of 2021<\/span>\u00a0, and within 6 months, the price of softwood boards has tripled in value!\u00a0Two months later, prices literally collapsed, whereas they have now risen again (see table 3).<\/span><\/p>\n

In addition to this unstable environment, French sawyers are reporting a significant rise in the prices of certain materials (scrap metal, concrete, etc.), electricity and gas oil, with an impact on transport costs.\u00a0As for the costs of raw material supplies, they are also subject to the same upward curve.<\/span><\/p>\n

Finally, at the global macroeconomic level, inflation is seriously picking up again, particularly in the USA (+7% in 2021).\u00a0The rise in construction prices had already dented consumers' purchasing power, the expected rise in bank rates in 2022 will only cut it even further, especially if wages do not fall in line with the soaring prices.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moreover, the latest construction figures in France published by the Ministry of Ecological Transition are not good: in the 4th quarter\u00a0<\/span>of 2021, the number of building permits fell by 3.9% quarter on quarter (2).\u00a0If the trend persists, we can therefore expect consequences on housing starts in the second half\u00a0<\/span>of 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

Table 1:<\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>HISTORICAL SOAR IN SAWN SOFTWOOD PRICES IN FRANCE<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Average sale price per m3, excluding VAT free of sawmill<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Type<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Quality<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Q4 2019<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Q4 2020<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Q3 2021<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

% change<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>over 1 year<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Spruce<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

200<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

206<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

304<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+47.6<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Spruce<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

134<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

149<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

220<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+47.7<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Maritime pine<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

222<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

228<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

290<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+27.2<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Douglas<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

216<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

238<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

359<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+50.9<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

\u00a0Table 2:\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>US PULP AND PANELS MARKETS: GREAT INSTABILITY<\/span><\/p>\n

Source:\u00a0\u00a0<\/em><\/span>Department of Natural Resources Canada, Random Lengths, Madison's Lumber Reporter<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\n\n

12\/2020<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>06\/2021<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>08\/2021<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>01\/2022<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

kraft pulp<\/span><\/p>\n

bleached softwood<\/span><\/p>\n

and $\/T<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>1150<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>1600<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>1550<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>1475<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Panels<\/span><\/p>\n

Composite price<\/span><\/p>\n

in $\/square feet<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>800<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>1700<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>600<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>850<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

Table 3:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>IN THE USA, EXTREME VOLATILITY IN THE SAWN WOOD MARKET<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/em><\/span>\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Average price of sawn softwood composites in the USA<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

En $ US\/1000 board feet<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Source: Chicago Mercantile Exchange (Chicago Stock Exchange)<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Q1 2019<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

01\/2020<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

04\/2020<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

09\/2020<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

11\/2020<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

05\/2021<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

08\/2021<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

01\/2022<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

340<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

440<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

250<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

970<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

495<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1686<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

454<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1170<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It is difficult to say today how the French timber market will evolve in 2022. Due to the health crisis, the sector has suddenly fallen into a kind of\u00a0unknown ground\u00a0after which any kind of forecast is nearly impossible. The reality … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":62240,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4713,4716,4715,4714],"tags":[3538,3655,4188],"class_list":["post-81826","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-companies-in-the-timber-industry","category-latest-trends","category-market-analysis","category-wood-industry-prices","tag-france","tag-wood-industry","tag-wood-prices","topic-forestry","topic-industry-prices","topic-sawmilling","area-europe"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nWhere is the French wood industry heading in 2022? - Timber Industry News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/french-wood-industry-heading-2022\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Where is the French wood industry heading in 2022? - Timber Industry News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It is difficult to say today how the French timber market will evolve in 2022. 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