{"id":81796,"date":"2022-02-03T07:30:20","date_gmt":"2022-02-03T07:30:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tin.happy-projects.ro\/outlook-new-zealands-exports-logs-china-challenging\/"},"modified":"2025-09-18T17:23:10","modified_gmt":"2025-09-18T17:23:10","slug":"outlook-new-zealands-exports-logs-china-challenging","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/outlook-new-zealands-exports-logs-china-challenging\/","title":{"rendered":"Outlook for New Zealand\u2019s exports of logs to China challenging"},"content":{"rendered":"

New Zealand log export revenue was up 34 percent during the year to 30 June 2021 due to stronger than expected demand from China. China remains the key market for New Zealand log exports, making up 85 percent of overall log export values, says New Zealand's Ministry of Primary Industries (MPI) in its annual report.<\/p>\n

According to MPI, NZ's log export revenue is forecast to reduce by 1 percent to $3.8 billion in the year to 30 June 2022. Chinese demand for logs has softened due to a slowdown in the construction sector and high market prices. The effects of China\u2019s response to a heated property market and high levels of debt at the country\u2019s second-largest property developer (Evergrande Group) have started to ripple through the construction sector. Despite near-term challenges in the construction sector, medium-term demand for logs is projected to lift driven by the Chinese Government\u2019s targeted measures to support the economy and infrastructure development.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Global demand and supply dynamics create uncertainty for New Zealand log prices in the medium-term, says MPI in its report. Log prices have fallen as demand eased, due to pressures in China\u2019s real estate sector and general slowing of the economy. According to MPI, increased supply of spruce logs from Europe is expected to put additional downward pressure on New Zealand log prices. Log supply from South America into China is expected to be subdued because of high freight costs. This will partly offset the downward pressure on log demand and prices. In the medium-term, demand and prices are also likely to be supported by the imminent removal of Russian logs from the export market in 2022.<\/p>\n

Supply volumes to South Korea as a share of total exports have decreased from 58 percent in 2005 to 8 percent in the year to 30 June 2021. Demand in this market is likely to remain sluggish in the medium-term as other markets ramp up supply. Demand from India has plummeted. It accounted for only 2 percent of total log export volumes in the year to 30 June 2021, down from 12 percent in 2011. While demand is forecast to improve slightly over the medium-term as India\u2019s economy recovers, greater supply from Australia and Uruguay is expected to pick up much of the slack.<\/p>\n

New Zealand's harvest volumes for the year to 30 June 2021 reached an all-time high of 37.6 million cubic metres, up 18 percent compared with last year due to robust demand and high prices. MPI is forecasting harvest volumes to slightly reduce for the coming year as demand eases.<\/p>\n

New Zealand sawn timber market<\/strong><\/p>\n

New Zealand's sawn timber export values were up 13 percent in the year to 30 June 2021 compared with last year supported by both strong domestic production and rising export prices. Sawn timber export values are forecast to reach $1.0 billion in the year to 30 June 2022, up a further 11 percent from 2021.<\/p>\n

Demand in the US and Australia is driven by housing construction activity, while it remains subdued in China. Chinese demand for sawn timber has been negatively impacted by rising export prices.<\/p>\n

The proposed Russian ban on log exports is likely to increase the supply of timber into China as Russia processes more wood for export. As China accounts for only 12 percent of sawn timber exports by value, the medium-term effect is likely to be marginal.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

New Zealand log export revenue was up 34 percent during the year to 30 June 2021 due to stronger than expected demand from China. China remains the key market for New Zealand log exports, making up 85 percent of overall … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":64313,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4716,4715,4714],"tags":[4592,3722,3382],"class_list":["post-81796","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-trends","category-market-analysis","category-wood-industry-prices","tag-log-experts","tag-log-prices","tag-new-zealand"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nOutlook for New Zealand\u2019s exports of logs to China challenging - Timber Industry News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/outlook-new-zealands-exports-logs-china-challenging\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Outlook for New Zealand\u2019s exports of logs to China challenging - Timber Industry News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"New Zealand log export revenue was up 34 percent during the year to 30 June 2021 due to stronger than expected demand from China. 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