{"id":81631,"date":"2021-12-22T09:10:12","date_gmt":"2021-12-22T09:10:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tin.happy-projects.ro\/sky-high-lumber-prices-back-n-america\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T08:56:41","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T08:56:41","slug":"sky-high-lumber-prices-back-n-america","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/sky-high-lumber-prices-back-n-america\/","title":{"rendered":"Sky-high lumber prices are back in N. America"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Builders are buying lumber while floods in British Columbia limited supplies. Cash prices are also very high. Pricing service Random Lengths said its framing composite index, which tracks on-the-spot sales, has jumped 65% since October to $915. Last week\u2019s jump of $129 was the biggest on record, eclipsing the jump of $124 in May, when lumber prices hit an all-time high.<\/p>\n

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Though lumber is traded in esoteric markets, two or four have become a proxy in the debate as to whether inflation will fade away with the lockdown. In June, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell pointed to falling lumber prices from a shocking peak, as evidence that rising costs would ease. On Wednesday, he said the central bank would discontinue its bond-buying programme, setting the stage for a series of interest rate hikes to tame inflation.<\/p>\n

Lumber prices have a way to go before risking the record they set in the spring, when futures hit $1,711.20. Still, lumber prices with commas were unthinkable before the lockdown, when mills were caught off guard by a boom in do-it-yourself and home construction and all the decks needed to facilitate outdoor dining.<\/p>\n

Analysts and traders say that conditions are ripe for price increases during the winter, as they often do before the spring building season.<\/div>\n

Flooding in British Columbia has cut off woods and sawmills from customers, unusually warm autumn weather has extended the building season and lumber buyers are loading in fear of further price increases and supply problems. Huh.<\/p>\n

Higher interest rates are also likely to cool the hot housing market. Higher borrowing costs will reduce buyers\u2019 ability to keep up with price increases, which builders have used to offset their increased costs. Most Fed officials expect at least a three quarter-percentage point rate hike next year.<\/p>\n

\u201cBuilders feel like they\u2019re nearing the end of a cycle and they\u2019re doing everything they can to drive home,\u201d said Matt Layman, an analyst and consultant who publishes Layman\u2019s Lumber Guide. \u201cThey know they can pay $1,500 for a two-by-four. They didn\u2019t like it, but it didn\u2019t hurt.\u201d<\/p>\n

Random Lengths said demand has exceeded supply, prompting sawmills to raise prices aggressively in anticipation of slowing orders in the new year. \u201cUnable to convince buyers with defensive pricing, some manufacturers walked out of the market,\u201d the trade publication said.<\/p>\n

Sawmills in British Columbia have reduced production as rain washed away roads and railways last month, pushing prices higher for the Northwest\u2019s spruce, pine and fir. Busy builders battling the fall season turned to eastern markets for lumber, driving up prices around the Great Lakes and further south.<\/p>\n

In a recent survey of building-products dealers, 20% of respondents told John Burns Real Estate Consulting that they regarded lumber as excess inventory, down from 56% who said in August that they had more than enough on hand.<\/p>\n

The firm expects home construction to accelerate in 2022 and strong growth in major remodeling jobs due to the record amount of home equity available to pay for new kitchens and additions.<\/p>\n

\u201cThey should be sitting on more inventory,\u201d said Todd Tomalak, who oversees construction products for the consulting firm. \u201cIt\u2019s the perfect storm for another wave of building-product shortages, for rinse-and-repeat in wood and a lot of other stuff as well.\u201d<\/p>\n

On Wednesday, the National Association of Home Builders said the index of builder confidence, although slightly below last autumn\u2019s peak enthusiasm, hit one of its most optimistic readings dating back to 1985. On Thursday, the Commerce Department said construction began on 1.679 million homes last month at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. It is 12% since October and the highest after March.<\/p>\n

The number of completed homes exceeded those completed by the largest margin since 1984, when double-digit mortgage rates tanked the housing market. The big difference shows that builders have difficulty procuring the materials, equipment and fixtures needed to finish the homes.<\/p>\n

Builders have had no trouble raising prices to counter their own increased costs, as ultralow mortgage rates have kept monthly payments affordable. Despite record prices for lumber and other materials, home builders are reporting some of their highest profit margins.<\/p>\n

Toll Brothers Inc. including builders, Lenar Corp and Hovhanian Enterprises Inc.,\u00a0<\/span>say they are still working through the lumber they purchased when prices peaked in the spring and expect margins to increase later next year when they made it from lumber they purchased after prices crashed back this summer. sell homes. Executives at those firms told investors during a recent call they were confident that if lumber makes another run they could drive up home prices further.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe market feels really strong about the pricing opportunities, so we\u2019re comfortable,\u201d said Ara Hovhanian, chief executive of her eponymous firm, which saw an average price of about $445,000 in the fiscal year ending October 31. Compare homes for sale. With about $419,000 a year ago.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Builders are buying lumber while floods in British Columbia limited supplies. Cash prices are also very high. Pricing service Random Lengths said its framing composite index, which tracks on-the-spot sales, has jumped 65% since October to $915. Last week\u2019s jump … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":59318,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4716,4715,4714],"tags":[3306,3945,3405],"class_list":["post-81631","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-trends","category-market-analysis","category-wood-industry-prices","tag-lumber","tag-lumber-prices","tag-north-america","topic-forestry","topic-industry-prices","topic-sawmilling","area-north-america"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSky-high lumber prices are back in N. 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