{"id":80848,"date":"2021-06-14T07:50:37","date_gmt":"2021-06-14T07:50:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tin.happy-projects.ro\/n-american-lumber-price-rally-seems-stall\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T08:55:38","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T08:55:38","slug":"n-american-lumber-price-rally-seems-stall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/n-american-lumber-price-rally-seems-stall\/","title":{"rendered":"N. American lumber price rally seems to stall"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"c-article-body__text\"><em>The unprecedented rally in the lumber market has begun to falter, but industry analysts expect lumber prices to remain at historically high levels through 2022.<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">Random Lengths, an Oregon-based company that monitors lumber markets, said two each made from western spruce, pine and cedar sold last week for US$1,470 for 1,000 board feet, up from US$130 in the previous weekly survey. decline of.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">This marks the second consecutive week that the benchmark has fallen since peaking at $1,630 in mid-May.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text c-article-body__text--interstitial\">As timber prices remain sky high, forest produce stocks are above their highs. Time to buy the dip?<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">\u201cThe fall in lumber prices in 2021 took its first significant step,\u201d Random Lengths said in its industry newsletter. \u201cDownward pressure intensified after last week\u2019s moderate downturn.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">The benchmark is now down 10 per cent from its record high. But even with the latest fall, cash prices of timber \u2013 a gauge of what sawmills are charged to sell to wholesalers \u2013 are nearly four times higher than the benchmark of US$373 in early June of 2020.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">Consumers undertaking renovation and remodeling projects will not get any immediate relief at the retail level. A spruce two-by-four framing wall stud, measuring about eight feet in length, sold for $10 to $11 at some retail outlets in Canada last week, compared to less than $3.25 in early 2020.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">Cash wood prices have risen over the past 13 months amid strong demand and limited supply. However, there are signs that the mania is waning. On the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, prices for wood futures for July delivery have fallen by one-quarter in the past four weeks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">While it is not clear how long it may take for markets to stabilize, analysts expect that in this commodity cycle, the next trough will not be as deep as it was before. Industry experts predict a new era with a floor for timber cash prices at higher levels, likely to hit a low of US$500 next year, or double the 2011 low of US$210. more and is much more than US$130 in 2009 recession.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">Wood trading advisor Russ Taylor said it appears that cash prices, which hit record highs last month, are now in the process of moving towards $1,000 later this year. \u201cMy understanding is that prices are peaking,\u201d he said in an interview. \u201cBut very few manufacturers are building new mills. They are buying and modernizing existing mills.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">In May, 2019, during a downturn in lumber markets, two-by-fours made of western spruce, pine, and fir sold for less than US$325 for 1,000 board feet \u2013 barely break-even at some BC sawmills.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">\u201cI think the price for the new floor is going to be around US$500,\u201d Mr. Taylor said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">Raymond Gems Ltd analyst Daryl Swetlishoff envisages an increase in volatility in the coming months. \u201cWe also anticipate higher floor pricing as the BC break-even cost level rises and are increasing our 2022 lumber price forecast from US$50 to US$600,\u201d he said in a research note.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">There will be good news for producers in British Columbia when higher pricing at the end of the market, where the cost of production at sawmills is higher than in the US South. As Canada\u2019s largest softwood lumber producer, BC accounted for 40 percent of the country\u2019s production last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">After a slump in lumber markets during the early stages of the pandemic, prices began to surge in mid-2020 as Canadians and Americans stuck at home, doing their own projects or hiring contractors.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">According to the Lumber Reporter of Madison, a Vancouver-based industry newspaper, two each made of western spruce, pine and cedar sold for an average of US$1,615 for 1,000 board feet last month, compared to US$366 in May of 2020.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">Keita Kosman, publisher of The Lumber Reporter of Madison, said US duties on Canadian growers selling softwoods south of the border have resulted in higher costs for American homemakers. She said the rising Canadian dollar against the US currency has reduced some of the benefits of Canadian sawmills, which cost in Canadian dollars while export revenue is pegged to the US greenback.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text\">The US South is full of lumber, but sawmill capacity hasn\u2019t kept pace. \u201cWe\u2019ve seen some improvement since then as mill capacity has increased in the US South, but industry output is still down 11 percent from its 2005 peak,\u201d said the authors at Random Lengths.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The unprecedented rally in the lumber market has begun to falter, but industry analysts expect lumber prices to remain at historically high levels through 2022. Random Lengths, an Oregon-based company that monitors lumber markets, said two each made from western &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/n-american-lumber-price-rally-seems-stall\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":59390,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4716,4715,4714],"tags":[3945,3405,4145,3432],"class_list":["post-80848","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-trends","category-market-analysis","category-wood-industry-prices","tag-lumber-prices","tag-north-america","tag-panel-prices","tag-softwood-lumber","topic-forestry","topic-industry-prices","topic-sawmilling","topic-wood-based-panels","area-north-america"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>N. 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