{"id":78540,"date":"2019-12-09T11:11:48","date_gmt":"2019-12-09T11:11:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tin.happy-projects.ro\/shortage-logs-china-demand-starts-rise-sharply\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T08:52:11","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T08:52:11","slug":"shortage-logs-china-demand-starts-rise-sharply","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/shortage-logs-china-demand-starts-rise-sharply\/","title":{"rendered":"Shortage of logs in China, demand starts to rise sharply"},"content":{"rendered":"

The price for an A grade log in the China log market has risen to 124 per JASm3. There is still a shortage of log supply, and demand has started to increase significantly as the temperature cools in China.<\/em><\/p>\n

There are reports of log supply possibly recommencing from South America. However, it is difficult to see how these operations will make a margin.<\/p>\n

The Chinese Lunar New Year is relatively early for 2020 being January the 25th. One main forest owner has already decided to take an extra week off harvest production over the New Zealand Christmas\/New Year period. This is quite prudent and hopefully other log producers follow suit so we don\u2019t have the usual end of year export surge, as forest owners and managers divert logs from domestic sales to export sales in order to keep harvesting when the New Zealand mills close for the end of the year. There hasn\u2019t been widespread reports of mills closing early this year, so this will assist with less export logs.<\/p>\n

Allowing for the effect of shipping and exchange rate most exporters think December AWG pricing in New Zealand - derived from China log sales - will be similar to November pricing.<\/p>\n

The cost of shipping will likely rise at the start of 2020. How much the CFR price can increase to offset this cost may be more limited than previously. The South American logs such as the Uruguan logs pictured below could start to arrive in China again if the CFR price lifts to a price that makes this supply chain viable. Of course this supply faces higher shipping costs than New Zealand. It is also likely that logs arriving in containers will face increased shipping costs compared to the predominantly break bulk supply from New Zealand. So the supply and demand balance within the China log market will be more complex and likely volatile than the previous few years.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The price for an A grade log in the China log market has risen to 124 per JASm3. There is still a shortage of log supply, and demand has started to increase significantly as the temperature cools in China. There … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":61468,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4716,4715,4714],"tags":[3254,3284,4032],"class_list":["post-78540","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-trends","category-market-analysis","category-wood-industry-prices","tag-china","tag-logs","tag-supply","topic-forestry","topic-industry-prices","topic-sawmilling","area-china"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nShortage of logs in China, demand starts to rise sharply - Timber Industry News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/shortage-logs-china-demand-starts-rise-sharply\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Shortage of logs in China, demand starts to rise sharply - Timber Industry News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The price for an A grade log in the China log market has risen to 124 per JASm3. 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