{"id":78502,"date":"2019-11-27T11:43:27","date_gmt":"2019-11-27T11:43:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tin.happy-projects.ro\/isc-2019-bark-beetle-crisis-europe-last-years\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T08:52:08","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T08:52:08","slug":"isc-2019-bark-beetle-crisis-europe-last-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/isc-2019-bark-beetle-crisis-europe-last-years\/","title":{"rendered":"ISC 2019: Bark beetle crisis in Europe could last for years"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

On October 17 and 18, 2019, the 67th International Softwood Conference took place in Antwerp in the Radisson Blu Astrid Hotel.\u00a0It was largely under the impact of the bark beetle catastrophe in Europe and international distortions in the trade.\u00a0The industry is still fundamentally optimistic, but urges caution.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

With 180 participants for the conference and even 240 for the gala dinner, a new record was achieved.\u00a0The outgoing ETTF chairman Andreas von M\u00f6ller took this as proof that personal meetings are important and desired even in times of online communication that is possible at any time.\"Keith<\/p>\n

The conference was moderated by British Keith Fryer, who manages the \"Timber You Can Trust\" campaign for the TTF.\u00a0The greeting was given by Jan Lambrechts from the host federation Fedustria.<\/p>\n

World economy on the verge of recession<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"HansFirst, Hans Bevers, chief economist at Bank Degroof Petercam, gave a macroeconomic overview of the current situation.\u00a0The global economy is experiencing an economic slowdown and growing uncertainty, which is leading to price pressure in many industries.\u00a0To counter this, new multilateral trade agreements are needed, Bevers said.\u00a0Since the second half of 2018, confidence and growth stocks have been steadily declining.\u00a0The confidence index of the economy stands at 51.6 points in the US and 50.1 in the Eurozone.\u00a0Both are likely to slip below 50 points. Global PMI is under 50 points, indicating a slowdown in the global economy.\u00a0The corresponding index for the emerging economies is above 50 points, indicating a stabilization of the economies in these countries.\u00a0Germany suffers from an industrial recession, especially in the automotive sector.\u00a0In particular, it affects Poland, Hungary and Romania as supplier countries.<\/p>\n

Construction industry keeps recession away from the industry for the time being<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"AndreasAs usual, ETTF President Andreas von M\u00f6ller provided an overview of essential timber markets.\u00a0The foundation for their prosperity is the construction industry, which is growing in the EU28, according to the Construction Production Index, especially in the Netherlands, Poland, the United Kingdom and Germany.\u00a0It is 10.9% higher in 2019 than in 2015. The construction confidence index for construction industry confidence is high, especially in the Netherlands, Germany and Spain, but has recently declined, also generally in the EU28.\u00a0In France, the index has risen sharply since 2015.\u00a0Building permits are rising sharply, especially in Spain, starting from a low level, remaining stable in the rest of the EU28 and last in the Netherlands.<\/p>\n

The view of the individual countries showed an often stable to slightly growing economy, but with some uncertainty factors.\u00a0The largest of these is the still-floating Brexit, which, if left unregulated, will throw out all forecasts, especially those for the UK.\u00a0In addition, there is an economic downturn in Germany, which is already noticeable in parts of the furniture industry.\u00a0And in Spain, Italy and Greece, growth is moving at a low level.\u00a0Generally positive: Timber construction is gaining in importance throughout Europe.\u00a0The strong construction industry keeps the recession away from the timber industry for the time being.\u00a0Generally alarming: global warming and the associated forest calamity will disrupt the timber market.<\/p>\n

From the Netherlands, M\u00f6ller brought disquieting news: There are many construction projects on hold because a court decision on the need for a more stringent environmental assessment for buildings is expected.\u00a0These include, for example, the CO2\u00a0emissions of a building during construction and operation.\u00a0It is not unlikely that such audits will be extended to other EU countries, according to M\u00f6ller.\u00a0In the longer term, such tightened regulations could help the timber industry.\u00a0First of all, they cause considerable difficulties for ongoing construction projects.<\/p>\n

Will Bark Beetle be \"The New Normal\"?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"SampsaEOS President Sampsa Auvinen, like many others, has analyzed the bark beetle crisis in Europe.\u00a0At the ISC 2018 in Riga, industry representatives was still optimistic about the timber prices.\u00a0\"Nobody expected the bark beetle crisis,\" he said.\u00a0Anyone who was not directly involved with the forest apparently did not see the crisis coming, or at least underestimated its significance dramatically.\u00a0Interestingly, the consequences of the decline in prices due to the high amount of wood produced are worse for the sawmills in those countries that do not have bark beetles than for those with bark beetle infestation.\u00a0In countries without bark beetles, the sawmills have a margin problem.\u00a0The result is, for example, in Finland drastically increasing stocks.\u00a0The lumber is currently hardly profitable.\u00a0\"The less you produce, the less money you lose,\" Auvinen quoted a Finnish sawyer.\u00a0And despite the huge volume of raw wood, prices will slow down the production of sawn timber, says Auvinen.\u00a0Recently, there were still some market valves: Great Britain increased its timber imports by 6% in the first half of 2019 - buying in anticipation of a more or less painful Brexit.\u00a0Germany has multiplied its round and sawn timber exports to China.\u00a0According to the European Forest Institute (EFI), the bark beetle calamity will remain for long and will increase gradually. \"The New Normal\" as it is known today.\u00a0But when it will be gone,\u00a0what will come next?\u00a0Already, the industry is preparing for a coming raw wood shortage.\u00a0We don't know when, but it will come.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/h2>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

On October 17 and 18, 2019, the 67th International Softwood Conference took place in Antwerp in the Radisson Blu Astrid Hotel.\u00a0It was largely under the impact of the bark beetle catastrophe in Europe and international distortions in the trade.\u00a0The industry … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":61364,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4716,4715,4714],"tags":[3957,4094,3352],"class_list":["post-78502","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-trends","category-market-analysis","category-wood-industry-prices","tag-bark-beetle","tag-international-softwood-conference","tag-softwood","topic-forestry","topic-industry-prices","topic-sawmilling","area-europe","area-north-america"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nISC 2019: Bark beetle crisis in Europe could last for years - 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