{"id":77801,"date":"2019-07-18T06:10:04","date_gmt":"2019-07-18T06:10:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tin.happy-projects.ro\/forecast-bc-lumber-production-expected-drop-22-2023\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T08:51:13","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T08:51:13","slug":"forecast-bc-lumber-production-expected-drop-22-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/forecast-bc-lumber-production-expected-drop-22-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Forecast: BC lumber production expected to drop 22% by 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"

By 2023, the B.C. Interior\u2019s harvest will be 20 per cent lower than it was before the mountain pine beetle outbreak, leading to a 22 per cent reduction in lumber production (to 9.5 billion board feet).<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

At this year\u2019s FEA\/WOOD MARKETS\u2019 Global Softwood Log and Lumber Conference,\u00a0Jim Girvan of MDT Management provided an update on the wood supply situation in the B.C. Interior as part of a panel that took a deep dive into the B.C. Coast and Interior regions\u2019 forest. Girvan left some of the audience stunned with his forecast for B.C. Interior lumber production in the next decade.<\/p>\n

As background, in 2010, Girvan, his business partner, Murray Hall collaborated in producing a blockbuster outlook report on the B.C. Interior timber harvest and wood products industry. The resulting forecast \u00ac\u2013 \u201c16 sawmills to close by 2018\u201d \u2013 made headlines nationally and around the world. To date, about 17-18 sawmills have closed since the 2010 forecast was made.<\/p>\n

In his new forecast (BC Interior Regional Fibre Supply Forecast: analysis and forecast of BC timber availability and wood products production to 2028 \u2013 to be published by FEA in August), the B.C. Interior\u2019s predicament is framed by a declining timber supply predicated on several factors:<\/p>\n