{"id":77333,"date":"2019-04-05T07:52:29","date_gmt":"2019-04-05T07:52:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tin.happy-projects.ro\/negative-outlook-global-forest-products-industry-says-moodys\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T08:50:14","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T08:50:14","slug":"negative-outlook-global-forest-products-industry-says-moodys","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/negative-outlook-global-forest-products-industry-says-moodys\/","title":{"rendered":"Negative outlook for the global forest products industry, says Moody’s"},"content":{"rendered":"

The outlook for the global paper and forest products industry has been changed to negative from stable, Moody's says. Global operating income will decline over the next 12 to 18 months, as wood product and pulp prices ease from recent peaks.<\/p>\n

\"The negative outlook for the global paper and forest products industry reflects a 2%-4% decline in industry operating income over the next year or so,\" said Ed Sustar, a Moody's Senior Vice President. \"Increasing paper packaging prices and demand for paper packaging and pulp will only partially offset rising input costs, declining demand for paper and lower wood product and market pulp prices.\"<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>The outlook for the paper packaging and tissue subsector remains stable, Sustar adds. Most Moody's-rated paper and forest product companies will generate modestly stronger operating earnings this year as growing demand and higher prices across several substrates offset escalating labor and freight costs.<\/p>\n

Moody's outlook for the paper subsector and the timber and wood product subsector both remain negative. Although capacity reductions through paper mill\/machine closures or conversions likely will exceed demand declines in 2019, higher prices for several paper grades will be more than offset by falling demand. Meanwhile, prices for wood products will drop back to more normal levels this year, while US housing starts will be flat, limiting demand growth for wood products and harvesting of timberlands.<\/p>\n

The outlook for the market pulp subsector has also been changed to negative from stable, Moody's says. Average prices across most pulp grades this year will decline from the peaks reached in 2018. Higher than usual pulp supply at the start of 2019 has led to price declines across most grades, though limited new pulp capacity growth this year will partially reverse price declines during the second half of the year.<\/p>\n

European Outlook
\nIn Europe, Moody's anticipates that the consolidated operating income of the 16 European producers in the market, which represent about 24% of the global rated industry\u2019s operating income, will decline 0%-2% over the outlook period.<\/p>\n

Modest operating income growth from European paper packaging and tissue producers will be offset by lower operating earnings from commodity paper and pulp companies,' it said. 'Paper producers will continue to face secular declines in demand (with some grades facing an accelerated rate of decline), which could be partially offset by stronger average pricing in 2019 compared to 2018.'<\/p>\n

At the same time, firms such as Smurfit Kappa, Metsa Board Corporation and Mondi plc will benefit from ongoing productivity improvements and rising demand, Moody's said.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The outlook for the global paper and forest products industry has been changed to negative from stable, Moody’s says. Global operating income will decline over the next 12 to 18 months, as wood product and pulp prices ease from recent … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":62186,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4716,4715],"tags":[3452,3393,3886],"class_list":["post-77333","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-trends","category-market-analysis","tag-forest-products","tag-industry","tag-moodys","topic-forestry","topic-pulp-paper","topic-sawmilling","area-africa","area-asia-middle-east","area-australia-and-pacific-region","area-china","area-europe","area-north-america","area-russia","area-south-america"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNegative outlook for the global forest products industry, says Moody's - Timber Industry News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.timberindustrynews.com\/ro\/negative-outlook-global-forest-products-industry-says-moodys\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Negative outlook for the global forest products industry, says Moody's - Timber Industry News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The outlook for the global paper and forest products industry has been changed to negative from stable, Moody's says. 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